1. Introduction of forecasting strategy
In order to predict the score line of the second model, some main factors need to be considered, such as the score line information over the years, the situation of fresh graduates, the difficulty of examination questions and so on. We can also combine statistical methods to make predictions, such as multiple linear regression and time series analysis, so as to get the most accurate prediction results.
2. Overview of historical data
According to the statistics of previous years, senior high school students in Suzhou, Wuxi and Changzhou performed well on the whole, especially in the provincial rankings. At the same time, judging from the scores over the years, there is a steady upward trend every year, and it is not far from the provincial scores.
3. Analysis of recent graduates
The number of students in this mode has increased compared with previous years, but in recent years, the number of high school graduates in Suzhou, Wuxi and Changzhou has been declining, which has also had a certain impact on the score prediction. However, we can accurately grasp the fierce competition of this exam through the data of various exam-oriented remedial classes and training institutions, so as to further speculate on the score line.
4. Test difficulty and hit rate
The difficulty of the exam is also one of the factors affecting the score. Although I can't disclose the specific exam questions, we can analyze the changes in the difficulty of this exam compared with last year from the answers of many students, and predict the hit rate by combining formulas and mathematical statistics. This also helps us to evaluate the score line more accurately.
5. Analysis of education policy and examination trend
In addition to the increase in the number of fresh graduates, this examination should also take into account the changes in various educational policies and examination trends. For example, the impact of the recently launched high school course "Customs Clearance Course" on students' preparation for exams, and the changes in the subject setting of the national entrance examination (referred to as the college entrance examination) in ordinary high schools may all affect the score line of the second mode.
6. Comprehensive analysis
Based on the above factors, it is estimated that the scores of Suzhou, Wuxi and Changzhou will be slightly higher than the level of 630 points last year. Of course, the specific situation needs further observation and research. We encourage our classmates and friends to actively prepare for the war, strive for good results in the examination room and lay a solid foundation for their future study.