Don't be confused about the classification:
Winning probability:
Win three games: (1/3 *1/3 *1/3 * 2/3) *10 = 40/243/10 = C35.
Win four games: (1/3 *1/3 *1/3 *1/3 * 2/3) * 5 =10/243//5 = c 45.
Win five games: (1/3) 5 =1/243/1= c 55 omitted.
Total: 5 1/243
Probability of failure:
Lose three games: (1/3 *1/3 * 2/3 * 2/3) *10 = 80/243.
Lose four games: (1/3 * 2/3 * 2/3 * 2/3 * 2/3 * 2/3) * 5 = 80/243.
Lose five games: (2/3) 5 = 32/243
Total: 192/243
So the probability of winning or losing adds up to exactly 1.
Which one upstairs did it right? Don't mislead others' children.