If the wrong pair is selected as event B and the wrong pair is selected as event C, then P(A)= 1
12
,P(B)= 1
13
,P(C)=
14
(1) Judging from the meaning of the question, you can get 50 points, that is, 10 is all right, so the probability is P=
12
×
12
×
13
×
14
=
148
; ... (5 points)
(ii) Depending on the meaning of the question, the possible values of ξ are 30, 35, 40, 45, 50,
So P(ξ=30)=
12
×
12
×
23
×
34
=
18
; ... (6 points)
P(ξ=35)=
C 12 12
×
12
×
23
×
34
+
12
×
12
×
13
×
34
+
12
×
12
×
23
×
14
=
1748
; ... (8 points)
P(ξ=40)=
12
×
12
×
23
×
34
+
C 12 12
×
12
×
13
×
34
+
C 12 12
×
12
×
23
×
14
=
1748
; ... (10)
P(ξ=45)=
12
×
12
×
13
×
34
+
12
×
12
×
23
×
14
+
C 12 12
×
12
×
13
×
14
=
748
; ... (12 points)
p(ξ= 50)= 1
12
×
12
×
13
×
14
=
148
So the mathematical expectation of ξ is: Eξ=30×
18
+(35+40)×
1748
+45×
748
+50×
148
=
455 12
..... (13 points)