1, quantitative analysis

That is, using statistical data and mathematical tools, we can analyze the causal relationship and make predictions. There are many specific methods for quantitative analysis and prediction, such as trend extrapolation and regression analysis. Trend extrapolation, that is, time series analysis, infers the development trend according to historical and existing data, so as to analyze the future development of things.

It arranges the events that appear under certain conditions in time sequence and predicts the future through the mathematical model of trend extrapolation. Time series is a series of numbers obtained by arranging statistical data according to the time of occurrence.

2. Qualitative judgment

When there is not enough data available, we can only rely on intuitive materials, personal experience and analytical ability to make logical judgments and make predictions about the future. This is the qualitative judgment and prediction technology.

Extended data

The function of technology prediction: to provide basis for government functional departments to formulate national science and technology policies and development strategies, choose priority development areas and determine R&D capital investment. Provide technical information for industrial technology upgrading and enterprises to formulate development strategies.

Guide domestic research and development activities, attract manpower and funds from all walks of life, and increase research and development efforts on potential technology projects. Vigorously promote cooperation and exchanges in all aspects of society, and strengthen the communication ability between the government, research institutions, enterprises and universities, thus forming a dynamic technological innovation network.

Baidu Encyclopedia-Technology Forecast

Baidu Encyclopedia-Prediction Technology