This makes us wonder whether there is a huge gap between the contract that Wade wants and the contract that the Heat is willing to give him. Now the negotiations have reached a deadlock, which has caused rumors from outside. Everyone is talking about it, and whether Wade will stay in the Heat has cast a shadow.
Despite the uncertainty, they are unlikely to go their separate ways. After all, Wade is the brightest star in the history of the Heat. Whether Wade is to the Heat or the Heat is to Wade, it has significance that other teams cannot understand. Wade and the Heat both want to stay with each other, which may be the best ending. Wade may not really consider other teams' offers, and now all the purpose may be to want a relatively reasonable long-term contract to stay in the Heat. The tense relationship now is just a game between the two sides in the early stage of negotiations, but behind this incident, some other problems may also be seen.
Wade hopes to get the last big contract of his career from the Heat, which is understandable: he led the Heat to win three NBA championships. At 10, he is the most important factor for James and Bosh to come to the Heat. His 12 brilliant career has all contributed to the Heat. In order to make the Heat feel successful in the past five years, he has been sacrificing his salary. He is so great that when it comes to the Heat, he is everything!
After last season, in order to strengthen the flexibility of the team, he chose to jump out of his contract worth 410.6 million in the last two years. At first, we all thought he would sign a longer contract, but surprisingly, he accepted a contract worth 30 million yuan for two years, including player options for next season, which was nearly 6.5438+million lower than the original contract!
In addition, 20 10, for whatever reason, Wade should get a six-year maximum salary contract, but he didn't. In the past five years, it can be said that in order to strengthen the team, he always sacrificed180,000 US dollars, plus the calculation of jumping out of the contract last year, such a sacrifice will reach 27 million US dollars.
It is reported that Wade wants to jump out of the contract this summer and sign a three-year contract with the Heat. The Heat are willing to pay him the contract, but they are currently divided on the size of the contract.
Why did Wade suddenly jump out of next season's 160,000 contract in front of the16 salary cap, instead of signing it? I guess Wade realized his physical condition. Wade will be 34 years old next season, and Wade has never played 70 games in a single season since 20 1 1. Wade has missed 48 games in the past two seasons. Although he is still one of the best defenders in the league, he often struggles with health.
For the Heat, the challenge is that they have too much uncertainty. This is completely different from when Wade signed a two-year $30 million contract. This year, too many changes have taken place. Please listen to my detailed explanation:
In February this year, the Heat won their future point guard-claw machine (Drazic). Claw machine has made it clear that he will jump out of his 7.5 million contract in the last year. He said more than once that he likes Miami and wants to play for the Heat all the time, but this is based on his money being satisfied. The Heat got two future draft picks, one of which was an unprotected draft pick. This expensive price will always remind everyone to try to meet all the requirements of claw machine. Claw machine will be eligible for a five-year contract with a starting salary of $6.5438+0.88 million and a total value of $6.5438+0.8 million.
In this year's 1 1 month, the Heat got their future center, Dabai. At that time, Bai Bian signed a two-year basic salary contract with Heat 15 and 16. He is rising at a rocket speed now. In his limited game, Bai Bian has been fighting with other insiders, and he dunks and rebounds with his amazing 7-foot long arm. He is like a bomber, providing unlimited power at both ends of the court.
It may be arbitrary to say that the future of the Heat will revolve around claw machine, Bosh and Dabai, but it is very possible. If the big white border continues to erupt next year, it is impossible for the Heat to make any decision that will damage the white border next summer. Because on 16, Bai Bian will become a completely free agent.
Once Dabai continues to improve, he will get a huge contract in this era when the center is scarce. This includes the possibility of the highest salary. The heat has no right to a white-edged bird. So if you want to sign the white border, the Heat can only leave him room under the salary cap.
Only after ensuring the possibility that claw machine and Bai Bian will stay next summer will the Heat come forward to answer Wade's demand.
Now, let's look at Riley's work mathematically.
16 17 season, the league salary cap is expected to reach $89 million.
So far, the Heat have only two players' contracts, which are longer than the 16 season, namely, Bosh's $23.7 million and Mike Roberts' $5.8 million. If claw machine gets the contract of $20.2 million, plus the rookie contract withNo. 10, the total salary of these four players will reach about $52.4 million.
Let me see: $89 million-$52.4 million = remaining salary space of $36.7 million.
Now, in the worst case, we have to subtract a potential maximum salary, which is for Dabaibian. The highest salary that White can get in the season, I predict, is $20.9 million. After counting the total salary cap, only $654.38+$025,000 is left for Wade.
Therefore, at this moment, the biggest contradiction between the Heat and Wade is that the Heat can't predict whether the trend of the white edge will go up or down next season, unless the Heat only provides Wade with a contract within161250,000 dollars in the 17 season, then they may have the flexibility to reserve space and provide a rough contract for the rise and fall of the white edge. Once it exceeds10.25 billion USD,
More pessimistic, the Heat may not even be able to provide Wade with $65,438+02.5 million. Think about it, the Heat still need to strengthen the position of small forward or strengthen the depth of the bench lineup. The Heat also needs to decide whether to implement the team option of milk skin in the future. So this situation determines that the Heat will not sign a contract with any player for more than 16 years before 16 years. (including Deng jumping out of the contract, the Heat will not renew the contract for many years, and the middle-class special case for many years will not be used this summer). Once Wade signs a three-year contract, the Heat will have no flexibility to ensure that the final salary cap is below the salary cap of $89 million.
Even if the Heat does offer Wade a three-year contract, from the above analysis, the Heat will not pay a contract with an annual salary of more than $654.38+02.5 million. The team needs to keep the space flexible to deal with emergencies. So having said so much, I guess the Heat's offer for Wade should be within the range of $30 million for three years. And if Wade gives up $6.5438+0.6 million next season, according to Wade's data recovery this season, I guess Wade is looking for a contract of about $50 million for three years.
I have to say that this is a considerable gap.
In order to narrow the gap between 16 without sacrificing the flexibility of the team, a feasible way is to replace Wade 16' s contract with the maximum salary before 16. Then, re-sign the contract on 16. However, in the two seasons after 16, the salary will not be very large. The advantage of this is to make up for Wade's loss to the maximum extent and keep the flexibility of space. If so, Wade's top salary will eventually be around $22 million.
In doing so, Wade jumped out of the last160,000 years and re-signed a contract with an annual salary of $22 million. Suddenly he will get 6 million compensation, not much, but it is a good node for the Heat and Wade to adjust each other. This will also be a good motivation for Wade to play next season. At present, this plan is beneficial to both sides.
However, this price will be very expensive.
If so, the Heat will pay luxury tax next season. And it will bring a series of consequences (because the Heat has paid luxury tax in three of the past four years, so if it is paid again, the Heat will have to pay repeated luxury tax? )
If Deng implements his player option, claw machine gets the top salary, and then Wade gets the top salary, the salary of Heat will be as high as $654.38 billion, and the luxury tax will be nearly $58 million. The total payment of $6543.8+$580 million will exceed $6543.8+$3654.38+$300 million in 2004.
Therefore, it is not clear whether Areson is willing to spend the money for Wade.
If Areson is unwilling to pay this luxury tax for Wade, then the Heat may discuss with Wade to implement the contract for next season, or Wade really can't return to the Heat.
Let's prepare for the worst. If Wade doesn't return to the Heat next season, the Heat will have several options to fill another player's backcourt with claw machine. No matter what Wade's decision is now, the team must find a way to solve the problems highlighted last season. The Heat shot 33.4% from 3-pointers last season, ranking 24th in the league. The Heat urgently needs to solve this problem.
In this regard, University of Kentucky shooting guard Devon Booker may be an answer. The Heat can try to get him with the number 10 next month. Booker is a good three-point shooter and a good defender in the shooting guard position. He performed very well in the player test and his footwork was excellent, so he can be a very important part of the team. On the other hand, Booker is actually the youngest of this rookie. He is only 19 years old, but he is very mature and a good fighting force.
Although Wade's departure will not provide salary space, the Heat can use the 5.5 million middle class to solve other problems.
In my understanding of the team and my interview with Riley, Riley always wanted Wade to stay in the Heat, which is his wish. But whether Wade and the Heat can continue on this road is really unknown. Although on the whole, the negotiations between Wade and the Heat were friendly and calm last summer, Wade may return to his hometown of Chicago this summer.
It seems too early to say these things. At present, it seems that the contradictions and differences between Wade and the Heat can be understood and resolved through a series of measures. These are not insoluble contradictions.
Key points:
1)
Trading Mike Roberts, although not easy to achieve, can really reduce the wage burden for the Heat. Due to the transactions in the past few years and NBA regulations, the Heat will not be able to provide draft picks as a bargaining chip in the next few years. Therefore, what the Heat needs to consider is whether to give all the money saved to Wade, or to give up Wade and add extra depth. Is it worth it?
2)
In general, it is estimated that the salary cap of 16 will be based on $89 million. However, the situation that the league has a salary cap is unique. The league has a process of constantly adjusting the salary cap. If a team spends more this summer, the league may adjust the salary cap, and the salary cap of 16 may not reach $89 million. It may also exceed $89 million.
3)
Another way is to let Wade sign a 4-5-year contract, let the league adjust the 35-year-old clause for Wade, and give Wade the corresponding "screw clause" and other details, which will not have much impact on the salary cap, so the real benefit will be the Heat. Wade will also benefit, which will be a win-win result, although it is unlikely.
? You have everything you want to know.