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R square of linear regression cannot represent probability.
R square: the ratio that determines the coefficient and all the changes of the dependent variable can be explained by the independent variable through the regression relationship. If R squared is 0.8, the regression relation can explain 80% variation of the dependent variable. In other words, if we can control the independent variable unchanged, the degree of variation of the dependent variable will be reduced by 80%.

1, in statistics, the calculation method of r square value is as follows:

R squared value = regression sum of squares (ssreg)/ total sum of squares (sstotal)

Where sum of regression squares = sum of total squares-sum of residual squares (ssresid)

2. The above terms are explained as follows:

Total sum of squares: when Const parameter is true, total sum of squares = sum of square difference between actual value and average value of Y; When Const parameter is False, total sum of squares = sum of squares of actual value of y.

Sum of squares of residuals: sum of squares of residuals = sum of squares of the difference between the estimated value of y and the actual value of y.

3. In linear regression analysis, RSQ function can be used to calculate R-squared value.

The syntax of RSQ function is RSQ (Y-known, X-known).

By substituting the Y-axis data and X-axis data in the source data respectively, the R-squared value of its "linear" trend line can be obtained.

Characteristics of 4, r 2:

(1) The determinable coefficient is a nonnegative statistic.

(2) The range of determinable coefficient: 0

(3) The determinable coefficient is a function of the observed values of the samples, and the determinable coefficient R 2 is a random variable with random sampling changes. Therefore, the statistical reliability of determinable coefficients should also be tested.