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Where is the growth pole of Guangdong in the future?
Foreword:

The author believes that Guangdong's future economic growth is either in eastern Guangdong or in western Guangdong!

1. What are the theoretical and practical economic poles of Guangdong?

1. Four regions in Guangdong Province:

Guangdong Province has 2 1 prefecture-level cities, which are divided into four regions: Pearl River Delta, East Guangdong, West Guangdong and North Guangdong. Among them, the prefecture-level cities included in the four major regions of Guangdong Province are:

(1) Pearl River Delta region, including: Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Foshan, Dongguan, Zhongshan, Zhuhai, Jiangmen, Zhaoqing and Huizhou, 9 prefecture-level cities;

(2) East Guangdong, including Shantou, Chaozhou, Jieyang, Shanwei and Meizhou, five prefecture-level cities;

(3) Western Guangdong, including Zhanjiang, Maoming, Yangjiang and Yunfu;

(4) Northern Guangdong, including Shaoguan City, Qingyuan City, Heyuan City and three prefecture-level cities.

2. The theoretical economic pole of Guangdong Province is 4 poles:

As Guangdong Province has 2 1 prefecture-level city, * * * is divided into four regions. Then the theoretical economic poles of Guangdong Province should be four poles, namely, the economic poles of the Pearl River Delta, eastern Guangdong, western Guangdong and northern Guangdong. But in fact, Guangdong province is not as big as the four major economic poles. Why?

3. The actual economic poles of Guangdong Province are three poles:

There are four economic poles in Guangdong Province in theory, but actually there are three, namely, the Pearl River Delta economic pole, the eastern Guangdong economic pole and the western Guangdong economic pole. Among them, the economic pole of the Pearl River Delta region is what we usually call Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration, Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration, Pearl River Delta metropolitan area and Pearl River Delta integration; East Guangdong economic pole, that is, what we usually call Chaoshan urban agglomeration, Chaoshan urban agglomeration and Chaoshan integration; The economic pole of western Guangdong is what we usually call Exhibition-Maoyang Urban Agglomeration, Exhibition-Maoyang Metropolitan Area, Exhibition-Maoyang Metropolitan Area and Exhibition-Maoyang Integration.

(Guangdong World-class Coastal Metropolitan Belt (Metropolitan Group))

2. Will the future growth of Guangdong be in western Guangdong instead of eastern Guangdong?

Now we know that Guangdong Province has three economic growth poles, namely Pearl River Delta, East Guangdong and West Guangdong. Since we are discussing the future economic growth pole of Guangdong Province, we naturally rule out the economic pole of the Pearl River Delta region, which is the main growth pole of Guangdong Province now. Then, in addition to the economic pole of the Pearl River Delta region, the future economic growth of Guangdong Province will naturally be either the economic pole of eastern Guangdong or the economic pole of western Guangdong!

(Four regions in Guangdong Province)

3. Guangdong's future growth pole-western Guangdong, according to the development prospect:

The author believes that the future economic growth of Guangdong province lies in the economic pole of western Guangdong-western Guangdong! That is what we usually say: exhibition of Maoyang urban agglomeration, exhibition of Maoyang metropolitan area, exhibition of Maoyang metropolitan area and exhibition of Maoyang integration. There are three main reasons:

1. The location advantage of western Guangdong is better than that of eastern Guangdong;

Western Guangdong has a very superior location advantage! Externally, western Guangdong is located at the southernmost tip of Chinese mainland, backed by Chinese mainland, facing the South China Sea and facing Hainan Island across the Pan-Beibu Gulf. Starting from western Guangdong, it is very convenient to reach any country in Southeast Asia. Internally, western Guangdong is connected with Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and separated from Hainan Province by a strip of water, just at the intersection of Guangdong, Guangxi and Hainan provinces.

2. The GDP of western Guangdong is higher than that of eastern Guangdong;

(1) In 2019, the GDP (economic aggregate) of western Guangdong was: Zhanjiang 306.472 billion yuan, Maoming 325.234 billion yuan, Yangjiang1292/kloc-0.80 million yuan, Yunfu 92 196 million yuan.

(2) In 2019, the GDP (economic aggregate) of eastern Guangdong was 269.408 billion yuan, Jieyang 21065438+77 million yuan, Meizhou1kloc-0/87.06 million yuan and Chaozhou1088.

(3) It can be seen that although there are five prefecture-level cities in eastern Guangdong, there are 1 prefecture-level city more than there are four prefecture-level cities in western Guangdong. The GDP (economic aggregate) of the five cities in eastern Guangdong is only 8 1, 44.8+0.5 billion yuan. Although there are only four prefecture-level cities in western Guangdong, the total GDP is as high as 853 1.2 billion yuan, 38.705 billion yuan more than that in eastern Guangdong.

3. The area under the jurisdiction of western Guangdong is larger than that of eastern Guangdong:

(1) The areas under the jurisdiction of four prefecture-level cities in western Guangdong are Zhanjiang 12490 square kilometers, Maoming 1 1445 square kilometers, Yangjiang 7822 square kilometers and Yunfu 779 square kilometers, totaling 39,536 square kilometers;

(2) The areas under the jurisdiction of five prefecture-level cities in eastern Guangdong are: Meizhou 15925 square kilometers, Jieyang 5240 square kilometers, Shanwei 4838 square kilometers, Chaozhou 36 14 square kilometers and Shantou 2064 square kilometers, totaling 3 168 1 square kilometers.

(3) Economic development is inseparable from land and resources. To develop the economy well, we must have enough land and resources to support it. This shows the importance of land and resources! The total administrative area of western Guangdong is 39,536 square kilometers, and that of eastern Guangdong is 3 168 1 square kilometers. The total administrative area of western Guangdong is 7,855 square meters more than that of eastern Guangdong.

(Administrative Map of Guangdong Province)

Ending words:

1, with Shenzhen as the center, covering Huizhou, Dongguan, Heyuan, Shanwei, Chaozhou, Shantou and other cities. Huizhou in Shantou is definitely the growth pole!

2. With Guangzhou as the center, Foshan, Zhaoqing, Qingyuan, Shaoguan and Qingyuan Shaoguan are definitely growth poles!

3. With Zhuhai and Zhanjiang as the center and Zhongshan, Jiangmen and Maoming as the main cities, Zhuhai and Zhanjiang are bound to be the growth poles in the future!

In June this year, Guangdong proposed to build a new development pattern consisting of the core area of the Pearl River Delta, the coastal economic belt and the northern ecological development zone, transforming unipolar growth in the Pearl River Delta into multipolar growth and accelerating regional coordinated development.

Core area of Pearl River Delta: Vigorously develop emerging industries such as Internet, artificial intelligence, gene sequencing, new energy vehicles and advanced manufacturing and modern service industries, accelerate the conversion of old and new kinetic energy, and achieve high-quality economic development.

Northern ecological development zone: environmental protection is also productivity. We will build a green barrier in the mountainous area of northern Guangdong, build an ecological protection special zone, develop industries such as global tourism and characteristic agriculture, and take the road of green development.

Coastal economic belt: support the east and west wings to vigorously develop the real economy and constantly improve the industrial ecological chain of international logistics, advanced manufacturing, new energy and marine tourism. , and the Pearl River Delta cities to jointly build coastal economic belt. The east wing takes Shantou as the center, promotes the urbanization development of Shantou Chaojie, and builds the radiation extension area of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area; Xiji takes Zhanjiang as the center to promote the integrated development of Zhanmao.

With the promotion of infrastructure such as high-speed rail and expressway from the Pearl River Delta to eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong, the Pearl River Delta and eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong are speeding up industrial construction, promoting the overall layout and integrated development of the same industries and enterprises in the Pearl River Delta and eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong, and leading advanced productive forces to eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong. By August of 20 17, 87 provincial-level industrial parks had achieved full coverage of counties in the east, west and north of Guangdong, which not only brought growth to local GDP, but also promoted the transformation of local industries, making them the new growth poles of Guangdong.

The future growth pole of Guangdong will definitely be the Pearl River Delta region of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area in a certain period of time, but in the long run, the eastern and western regions of Guangdong will also undertake this important task. As we all know, Guangdong is a big economic province in China, ranking first in China for nearly 30 years, but its economic development is extremely uneven. The nine cities in the Pearl River Delta (Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Foshan, Dongguan, Huizhou, Zhongshan, Zhuhai, Jiangmen and Zhaoqing) account for only 3 1% of the total population of the province, 53% of the total GDP of 20 1 trillion, and 83% of the total GDP of the province of 9.73 trillion. In other words, the total GDP of non-Pearl River Delta, which accounts for nearly 70% of the province's area and nearly half of its population, only contributes 17% of the province! The disparity in regional development is shocking! Therefore, only by solving the problem of unbalanced regional development can Guangdong achieve real all-round development.

The Outline of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Plan was officially released in February 18. This programmatic document has made a comprehensive plan for Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's strategic positioning, development goals and spatial layout. Building Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area is a major plan based on the overall situation and with a long-term view. According to the planning outline, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area should not only be built into a vibrant world-class urban agglomeration, an international science and technology innovation center, an important support for the Belt and Road construction, and a demonstration area for deep cooperation between the mainland and Hong Kong and Macao, but also become a high-quality living circle that is livable, suitable for business and tourism, and a model for high-quality development. With the vigorous development of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's construction, the Pearl River Delta, as an important part of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, is bound to usher in a new round of large-scale development, and the resources of surrounding cities will further gather in the Pearl River Delta, and the economic development will surely make a new leap. Therefore, the Pearl River Delta will certainly strengthen the function of Guangdong's economic growth pole for a long time, which will drive the province's economy more and more obviously, and objectively the gap between other regions and the Pearl River Delta will become even greater.

Northern Guangdong is far from the coastline, mostly mountains and mountains. As an ecological barrier in Guangdong Province and a water conservation area in the Pearl River Delta, it is not suitable for large-scale industrial development. We should develop more eco-green economy, but we will certainly sacrifice our own economic development. Therefore, Greater Bay Area, as an ecological beneficiary, should make appropriate economic compensation for this, which is conducive to long-term sustainable and coordinated development. In the province, the northern part of Guangdong can be considered to immigrate to Zhuhai and other places moderately, and more transfer payments can be made to help the industry transform into an ecological and green economy.

The geographical position and natural conditions of eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong are superior, which is especially suitable for developing industry, agriculture and marine economy. But in the past, their development was relatively backward, which was far from the cities in the Pearl River Delta. Shantou, the leading city in eastern Guangdong, and Zhanjiang, the central city in western Guangdong, must play a greater role in promoting the progress of their respective regions.

Shantou is one of the national special economic zones, and the Guangdong Provincial Development and Reform Commission has clearly expressed its support for Shantou to declare a free trade zone, which may be established soon. Strong policy support, good industrial base, relatively developed private economy, numerous overseas Chinese folks, integration of Shantou, Chaozhou and Jieyang, and accelerated urbanization, Shantou's leap-forward development is expected. However, Shantou may have to overcome the thinking that some people pay too much attention to business and are keen on making quick money. Down-to-earth, step by step, hard work is the fundamental way to development.

Zhanjiang is also one of the 14 coastal open cities in China and the sub-central city of Guangdong Province in western Guangdong, which plays an important role in this region. Zhanjiang is the landing place of Hainan Freeport and an important pole of Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration. Hayes is an important node facing Southeast Asian countries, with multiple advantages, and its geographical and natural conditions are particularly suitable for developing heavy chemical industry. In recent years, the heavy chemical industry in western Guangdong has developed rapidly. With the accelerated construction of Zhanmao urban agglomeration, the development potential of western Guangdong, represented by Zhanjiang, is limitless. However, while developing heavy chemical industry, agriculture and marine economy in western Guangdong, we must make up for the course of private economy.

Guangdong's future economic growth depends on the Pearl River Delta in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, as well as the east and west of Guangdong, especially Shantou and Zhanjiang. The Pearl River Delta connects Qi Fei with the east and west wings, and the unbalanced development in the province has been solved, which is a true portrayal of Guangdong's future development and growth.

The future growth pole of Guangdong is undoubtedly in eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong.

Open the map of Guangdong, and the gap between Guangdong's richest Pearl River Delta and eastern Guangdong, western Guangdong and northern Guangdong is the gap between Europe and Africa. Although Guangdong is the largest economic province in China, its unbalanced economic development has been criticized. So why is Guangdong's future growth in eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong? Guangdong and western Guangdong are the two wings of Guangdong, echoing the Pearl River Delta. In China, there is a saying that only by building roads can you get rich. One of the reasons for the backwardness of eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong is the backwardness of infrastructure.

Let's talk about eastern Guangdong, which is the most business-friendly Chaoshan settlement in China. There are Shantou, Chaozhou, Jieyang and other cities in the special zone, with a population of 10 million. Shantou, as one of the four special zones, has never developed. There are many reasons, but there are two main ones: first, the traditional interests are deeply rooted, and it is difficult for external funds to enter; second, the transportation facilities are backward. However, Shantou has a superior geographical position and can play a very good role in the middle of the Pearl River Delta and Fujian Haixi Economic Zone. Moreover, it has many overseas Chinese, which can make more effective use of foreign capital. With the acceleration of urbanization in Chaoshan and the advantages of privileged policies, Shantou has great development potential, and its growth can effectively promote the overall development of eastern Guangdong. Let's talk about western Guangdong, where there are two major economic cities, Maoming and Zhanjiang, with a population of more than 20 million. Zhanjiang is a famous deep-water port and the central city of Beibu Gulf economic circle, with a prominent position as a transportation hub and a unique geographical position, which can directly face Southeast Asia. Maoming is a famous chemical and port city in Guangdong, which can provide sustainable energy support for the development of western Guangdong. The Binhai New Area in Maoming has a high starting point, which can effectively help western Guangdong become a new growth pole. Guangdong is stepping up the construction of Shenmao Railway, Yuexi Airport, Guangzhan and Guangshan high-speed railways to make up for the traffic shortcomings in eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong. By then, the regional advantages of eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong will be further highlighted, and the three-dimensional transportation network of land, sea and air will form a huge synergy. Especially with the rising labor costs in the Pearl River Delta, eastern Guangdong and western Guangdong have great advantages in undertaking industrial transfer in the Pearl River Delta. Whether a place can become a new growth pole, in addition to geographical and policy advantages, it must also have perfect transportation and complete industrial chain, and have a huge population and huge growth space. Guangdong and western Guangdong have this advantage. Therefore, in the planning of Guangdong coastal economic belt, Shantou and Zhanjiang are positioned as sub-central cities in Guangdong. With the improvement of traffic and the industrial transfer in the Pearl River Delta, Shantou and Zhanjiang will face new development opportunities and broad prospects.

I personally think that the growth pole of Guangdong in the next 10 year is still in the industry. Geographically, it is still the Pearl River Delta region, that is, 1 1 city in Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (Guangfo Zhaoshen Guanhui Huizhou Zhuhai Zhongshan Jiangmen+Hong Kong+Macau).

In the 13th Five-Year Plan, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area will be built into a world-class Bay Area economy. Therefore, Guangzhou, Foshan, Zhaoqing, Shenzhen, Dongguan, Huizhou, Zhuhai, Zhongshan and Jiangmen are still important components of Guangdong's economic growth pole. Guangdong's industrial upgrading has also made major breakthroughs in supply-side reform and the national policy planning of the Belt and Road Initiative.

Industry: Guangdong will focus on Guangzhou and Shenzhen, and vigorously develop scientific and technological research and development, high-end financial services and high-end manufacturing. First, science and technology services to upgrade manufacturing equipment, promote the upgrading of Guangdong's manufacturing industry, and provide automatic coverage; Secondly, the financial capital of Guangzhou and Shenzhen will be injected into the real economy enterprises mainly in Foshan, Zhongshan, Dongguan and Huizhou, so as to improve the production efficiency of these enterprises and accelerate the service of real finance.

In addition, Guangdong manufacturing enterprises will gradually shift from high-cost cities such as Guangzhou and Shenzhen to cities such as Zhongshan, Dongguan, Foshan, Zhaoqing and Huizhou, where labor costs and land costs are relatively reduced. These cities bear the infrastructure and jobs for the transformation of Guangdong's physical manufacturing industry.

In terms of scientific research, the agreement between the Ministry of Education, Guangdong Province, Guangzhou City and South China University of Technology to jointly build Guangzhou International Campus of South China University of Technology was signed in Beijing on March 5, 20 17. The campus will cooperate with Cambridge University, Harvard University and Nanyang Technological University. Focusing on emerging cross-cutting fields such as high-end equipment manufacturing, quantum communication, brain science and artificial intelligence, we will carry out top-notch innovative personnel training, international cutting-edge scientific research and the transformation of high-level scientific and technological achievements, fully serve the country's major strategic needs, and strongly support the innovation-driven development of Guangdong and Guangzhou.

Free Trade Zone: Guangdong and Hong Kong will establish a "Guangdong-Hong Kong Deep Cooperation Zone" in Nansha Free Trade Zone. Industrial development will closely focus on eight major industries, including R&D and transformation of scientific and technological achievements, international education and training, financial services, professional services, business services, leisure tourism and health services, shipping logistics services and information technology.

In terms of service trade, the "Thirteenth Five-Year Plan for Service Trade Development" published by the Ministry of Commerce mentioned that taking the pilot construction of service trade innovation and development in Guangzhou and Shenzhen as an important starting point, we should give full play to the advantages of China (Guangdong) Pilot Free Trade Zone, further promote the liberalization of service trade in Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao, and enhance Guangdong's radiation driving force for regional service trade development. Strive to build the Pan-Pearl River Delta into a highland and comprehensive service hub leading South China, joining hands with Hong Kong and Macao, radiating Southeast Asia and facing the world.

In addition, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area needs to give full play to the leading and spillover effects of the three central cities of Hong Kong, Guangzhou and Shenzhen on the Pearl River Delta region in the fields of modern service industry and advanced manufacturing industry, and form a number of new Internet industries and enterprises comparable to Baidu, Ali and Tencent as soon as possible, so as to promote the specialization and diversification of industries through regional integration, so as to cooperate with the construction of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area and world-class urban agglomerations.

Guangdong will make a new industrial layout around Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, make overall regional planning, promote the integration of regional resources, and vigorously cultivate modern high-end industries such as big data, cloud computing, Internet technology, e-commerce, high-end financial services, high-end manufacturing, international trade and port economy. These economic frameworks based on digital data will be the bridgehead of Guangdong's economic growth in the next few years.

Therefore, I think that in the next few years, the growth pole of Guangdong's economy will still exist in the Pearl River Delta region, especially in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Economic Belt.

Personally, I think that at least in the next 20 years, Guangdong's economic development will mainly rely on the Pearl River Delta region. As far as cities are concerned, they are mainly Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Foshan and Dongguan.

In terms of total amount, in 20 17 years, Guangdong's GDP was 8,987.9 billion yuan. Among them, the GDP of Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Foshan and Dongguan are 2243.8 billion yuan, 265.438+050.3 billion yuan, 954.9 billion yuan and 758.2 billion yuan respectively, totaling 665.438+0072 billion yuan, accounting for 67.9% of the province. If Zhongshan, Zhuhai, Huizhou and other cities are added, the total economic output of the entire Pearl River Delta region accounts for more than 3/4 of the province. However, the economic aggregates of cities in eastern Guangdong, northern Guangdong and western Guangdong are still very small, and the GDP of many cities is below 200 billion yuan.

In terms of increment, Guangdong's GDP increased by 902.4 billion yuan (898.79-808.55 billion yuan) in 20 17. In the same year, the GDP growth of Shenzhen, Guangzhou, Foshan and Dongguan were 236 billion yuan,169.8 billion yuan, 965.438+03 billion yuan and 64.4 billion yuan respectively, and the total GDP growth was 566.5438+05 billion yuan, accounting for 62% of the province's increase. Add Huizhou, Zhuhai and Zhongshan, and the proportion will reach 70%. (Shenzhen)

So the current situation is that Guangdong's economic development is highly dependent on the Pearl River Delta region. It has contributed the most economic output, fiscal revenue and jobs in the province. The economy of non-Pearl River Delta region is small and slow (the economic growth rate of many cities in non-Pearl River Delta region is lower than the average level of the whole province), and it is expected that it will not help the economic development of the whole province much at present. (Guangzhou)

It is unlikely that the economic structure of Guangdong province will be completely changed in the next 20 years. At most, it will be improved to enhance the economic scale and development speed of non-Pearl areas. If the economic growth rate of non-Pearl River Delta region can't catch up with that of Pearl River Delta region, its economic status in the whole province will also decline. In 2004, the GDP of Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Foshan and Dongguan accounted for 64.5% of the whole province, which rose to 67.9% in 20 17 and increased by 3.4 percentage points in 13.

According to the growing Matthew effect, the Pearl River Delta region will play a stronger and stronger role in Guangdong's economic structure and will remain the growth pole of Guangdong's economic development.

Guangdong's future development will be guided by Greater Bay Area urban agglomeration of Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao, supported by Shantou-Chaozhou urban agglomeration and Zhanmao-Yangcheng urban agglomeration, to build a world-class coastal metropolis belt, and to promote the balanced development of the whole province by establishing a "dual-core and multi-center" urban functional hierarchy. "Dual-core and Multi-core" means that Guangzhou and Shenzhen are the main centers, Zhuhai, Shantou and Zhanjiang are the sub-centers, and Foshan, Huizhou, Dongguan, Zhongshan, Jiangmen, Shanwei, Jieyang, Chaozhou, Yangjiang and Maoming are the regional centers. Through the establishment of regional urban agglomerations centered on the main and sub-central cities, the resources and functions of each city will be integrated, and the integrated development will be promoted through the driving and radiation of the main and sub-central cities.

It can be seen that Guangdong's future economic growth has three poles, from the original mainly relying on the Pearl River Delta to the two poles of eastern Guangdong (Shantou-Chaozhou-Jieyang city circle) and western Guangdong (Zhanmao-Yangcheng city belt).

The growth pole of the Pearl River Delta will remain the most important growth pole. The Pearl River Delta has a mature and perfect industrial cluster supported by high technology, and its scientific and technological level and scientific research system are in the forefront of the world. "Software" and "hardware" are quite perfect and developed, and the degree of integration and development is also quite high. Under the background of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's construction, with the continuous promotion of Guangdong Free Trade Zone, "Guangzhou-Shenzhen Science and Technology Corridor" and the deep integration of Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao, the Pearl River Delta is even more powerful and will continue to lead the development of Guangdong.

Guangzhou and Shenzhen are still the two core growth poles of Guangdong. With the Nansha Free Trade Zone as the platform, Guangzhou will turn Nansha into a "Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao all-round cooperation demonstration zone", make full use of its unique resources and advantages, and play a central role in the construction of Guangdong and even Greater Bay Area. The development momentum will be even stronger, and it will undoubtedly continue to be the core growth point of Guangdong.

Shenzhen's economic achievements have attracted worldwide attention. Shenzhen's economy has always been driven by innovation and can develop continuously and rapidly. In 20 17, Shenzhen surpassed Guangzhou in GDP and became the first brother of Guangdong economy. Shenzhen is constantly advancing the eastward strategy, stepping up the layout and development of future industries, speeding up the construction of Qianhai Free Trade Zone, and actively promoting the development of Shenzhen-Hong Kong cooperation project "Shenzhen-Hong Kong Innovation and Technology Park" in the Hetao area of Lok Ma Chau ... At present, the layout and development of emerging and future industries are second to none in Guangdong and even the whole country; Seven of the top ten future industrial clusters have won awards; By the end of 20 17, there were about165,000 registered enterprises in Qianhai Free Trade Zone, among which 323 enterprises were established in the world's top 500, and more than 7 100 registered Hong Kong-funded enterprises. The actually utilized Hong Kong capital accounted for 97% of the actually utilized foreign capital (US$ 4.45 billion). We believe that Shenzhen's economy will maintain a high-speed growth and will maintain its position as the core growth pole of Guangdong's economy.

Guangdong's development strategy is "east-west integration, expanding south and advancing north". The development of "Zhanmaoyang" port-facing economic circle in western Guangdong has been included in the key construction plan of Guangdong Province. In the future, Zhanjiang will be built into an important coastal open city, a modern port city, an ecological bay city, a central city in western Guangdong and an important city around Beibu Gulf. Building Maoming into a world-class petrochemical base, an important energy logistics base in Guangdong and a characteristic modern agricultural base; Yangjiang has built a new energy industrial base, an important industrial undertaking place and a modern coastal tourist destination in the whole province. Therefore, Zhanmaoyang will surely become a new economic growth pole in Guangdong.

According to Guangdong's development plan, Shantou Tide Expo in eastern Guangdong will be developed into a coastal industrial economic belt with harmonious land-sea relationship by optimizing and integrating the industrial structure and regional structure in eastern Guangdong and combining its own advantages in marine resources, and become another new growth pole in Guangdong.

Since the reform and opening up, Guangdong has created an amazing economic miracle, which is mainly due to the full support of state policy funds. 2. Linhai is close to the main international waterway in the Pacific Ocean, which is convenient for external contact. Third, it is close to Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan and Southeast Asia, which facilitates the introduction of capital, technology and management. Fourth, the love complex of the hometown of overseas Chinese and wealthy overseas Chinese has a great influence on the early opening up. 5. Historical opportunity of international industrial transfer. Many industries with low added value and high pollution in developed countries have found places to transfer. However, the development since the reform and opening up mainly depends on labor-intensive industries, with low added value, serious pollution and lack of independent innovation. With the increase of land price, especially labor price, Guangdong's economic development is obviously insufficient. The main manifestations are that the gold content of GDP is getting lower and lower, environmental pollution and ecological damage are increasing continuously, and regional development is very uneven (it is found slowly in northern Guangdong and western Guangdong).

Based on the above analysis, I think the first area of Guangdong's future economic growth is to introduce the integration strategy with Hong Kong and Macao as soon as possible with the help of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge, accelerate the economic integration of the Pearl River Delta and build the "Belt and Road" export base as soon as possible.

Second, attach importance to the development of western Guangdong and northern Guangdong, narrow regional differences, and let Guangdong surpass the well-off society in an all-round way. First, Guangdong should focus on technological innovation, vigorously develop the service industry and gradually reduce the proportion of low value-added industries and industries with high pollution and high energy consumption. Second, vigorously develop science and education, build several world-class universities and a number of innovative research institutes, and strive to master a number of core technologies in a relatively short time.

Third, in the field of trade, Guangdong has always been the main front of China's foreign trade, and we should continue to do a good job in trade, especially in international trade that is in line with the "Belt and Road" strategy with the help of the huge inland economic hinterland of the motherland. The fourth is the field of environmental ecology, which is not only the need of sustainable development, but also the sunshine industry with great economic benefits.

Fifth, vigorously develop tourism. Guangdong has rich natural scenery, profound historical and cultural heritage and unique geographical location-adjacent to Hong Kong and Macao, a paradise for shopping and entertainment.

Limited by my level, I can only answer these questions superficially.