I. Nine Points of the Data of the Seventh National Census
1, the national population * * *1411780,000. The data shows that China's population has maintained a low growth trend of 10 years.
2. The male population is 723.34 million, accounting for 565.438+0.24%; The female population is 688.44 million, accounting for 48.76%.
The population aged 3.0- 14 is 253.38 million, accounting for17.95%; /kloc-894.38 million people aged 0/5-59, accounting for 63.35%; The population aged 60 and over is 264.02 million, accounting for 65.438+08.70% (among them, the population aged 65 and over190.64 million, accounting for 65.438+03.50%).
4. The population with university education is 218.36 million.
5. The population living in cities and towns is 90 1.99 million, accounting for 63.89%; The population living in rural areas is 509.79 million, accounting for 3,665.438+065.438+0%.
6. The population of the eastern region accounts for 39.93%, the central region accounts for 25.83%, the western region accounts for 27. 12% and the northeast region accounts for 6.98%.
7. The separated population is 492.76 million, including 6,543.8+0,654.38+0,694 million in the municipal area and 375.82 million in the floating population.
8. The average population of each household is 2.62, which is 0.48 less than 3. 10 in 20 10.
9. Han population 12863 10000, accounting for 91.1%; Minority population125.47 million, accounting for 8.89%.
Second, six thoughts brought by the census
1, there are more and more college students, and the competition pressure will be greater in the future. Maybe graduate students will be standard in the future. Come on, boys and girls.
In terms of education distribution, the city with the highest education level is Beijing, followed by Shanghai, Tianjin, Inner Mongolia, Liaoning and other places. From the education level, it is obvious that the north is strong and the south is weak. This also shows that high-quality talents still gather in Beijing, Shanghai and other places.
In terms of years of education, the highest city is Beijing, with per capita years of education of 12 years, but in this census, Guangdong has obviously improved.
The industrial structure and job requirements have further increased the gathering of high-quality talents. The lack of blue-collar labor in Beijing and Shanghai will be further unbalanced, which means that the service industry, manpower and labor will be more expensive.
The population is flocking to the economically developed areas. In the future, the Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and Chengdu-Chongqing regions will be the four major population gathering places in China, especially the Pearl River Delta region where Guangdong is located.
3. The ratio of male to female has gradually increased, and the urbanization process has been steadily advanced. It is expected that there will be no more bride price, and there will be no more selling prostitutes to get married.
4. The proportion of the second child has also increased. Parents in China are particularly willing to spend money on their children, and the demand for children is also a fast-growing industry.
5. With the aging population, more wealth in China is in the hands of the elderly. The demand of the elderly is precisely the fast-growing industry in the future.
6. The problem of housing prices, housing prices will not go up in most areas in the future, but there is still room for growth in cities with a large influx of population.
3. What impact does the census result have on housing prices?
The future trend of housing prices after the release of the data of the seventh national census is still one of the topics that everyone is very concerned about. Is there room for housing prices to rise in big cities? How long can housing prices in small cities last?
It depends on whether your city has a large population inflow. The population continued to flow to the coastal areas, and the population inflow rate in the Pearl River Delta and the five major urban agglomerations increased significantly. The growing population siphon in these areas also means that there will be more purchasing power to digest the real estate in these areas in the future.
These cities with super population attraction, central cities and surrounding satellite cities (towns and villages) will also have some room for rising house prices.
1, the aging degree is deepening, or it will promote the development of pension real estate.
According to the census data, the population aged 60 and over is 264.02 million, accounting for 65.438+08.70% (among them, the population aged 65 and over190.64 million, accounting for 65.438+03.50%). Compared with 20 10, the proportion of people aged 60 and above increased by 5.44 percentage points, and the degree of population aging further deepened.
For real estate, the development of aging may further promote the development of pension real estate.
2. The shrinking family size indicates that small-sized houses will be more popular in the future.
According to the census data, there are 494 1.6 million households in China, with a population of 1.2928 1.000. The average population of each household is 2.62, which is 0.48 fewer than 3. 10 in 20 10. The continuous shrinking of family size is mainly due to the increasing population mobility in China and the improvement of housing conditions for young people to live independently after marriage.
The decline in the number of households will inevitably bring about changes in the housing transaction structure, and smaller houses will definitely be more popular in the future. Moreover, the sharp decline in the number of families also illustrates another problem. Letting go of childbearing may not make everyone have more children. Generally speaking, the future housing should be miniaturized.
3. The urbanization rate indicates that the new housing market may peak ahead of schedule.
According to the census data, the population living in cities and towns is 90 1.99 million, accounting for 63.89%; The population living in rural areas is 509.79 million, accounting for 3,665.438+065.438+0%. Compared with 20 10, the urban population increased by 236.42 million, the rural population decreased by164.36 million, and the proportion of urban population increased by 14.438+0 percentage points.
The urbanization rate shows that the data of the past ten years underestimate the real urbanization rate of China. This data is not friendly to the real estate market, because rapid urbanization has intervals, roughly between 50% and 70%. The underestimation of past data shows that there is limited room for the improvement of urbanization rate in China in the future, and the new real estate market in China may peak ahead of schedule.
What impact does the census result have on housing prices? The above are the data of the seventh national census and the nine main points of the future real estate trend. You can use them as a reference. In the suburbs and towns around first-tier cities with concentrated population, such as Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Suzhou and Hangzhou, house prices will continue to rise. In areas where the population continues to flow out, there is a high probability that it will not rise. However, whether the inflection point of housing prices will come remains to be discussed. More real estate knowledge can continue to pay attention here.