Let's talk about the central idea first: from the perspective of market economy, 2022 is destined to be an extraordinary year, with challenges greater than opportunities.
In recent years, under the influence of epidemic situation and related policies, many industries have undergone earth-shaking changes.
Some industries directly entered the winter under the influence of the epidemic, and have not recovered yet, such as tourism; Some industries have withdrawn from the historical stage under the influence of policies, and there is no possibility of making a comeback in the short term, such as the discipline teaching and training industry. The real estate industry, which we often talk about, has officially started to decline with the "Thunder Storm" of Evergrande Group, or it is going downhill at a high speed, and the brakes may not work well. If we go ahead, we will die.
These are the tip of the iceberg that everyone can see. The real crisis is under the water, and its volume is amazing.
From the current government work report and the recent actions of the central bank, it can be seen that the economic pressure of governments at all levels this year is very great, especially in the central and western cities, and it is very difficult to maintain the past economic level.
Let's talk about the challenges in 2022, specifically to the industry level.
The service industry is still under great pressure.
Due to the global epidemic in COVID-19, the domestic epidemic policy will not be relaxed in 2022. For the catering industry and tourism industry, the tide of small and medium-sized enterprises' closure will continue, and layoffs and salary cuts will become the norm.
If you are the boss, don't blindly invest in expanding the scale. Maintenance is the greatest victory. If you are an employee, if you can re-plan your family's financial expenditure and save more food for the winter, it is better to learn another skill.
The fiscal revenue of grass-roots governments will be greatly reduced.
Except for first-tier cities and some coastal areas, the main source of income for most cities in the mainland is land sales. With the thunder storm of Evergrande Group, the last fig leaf of the real estate industry was torn off. The real estate speculators quickly withdrew and just needed customers to wait and see. Under the pressure of capital chain, developers are no longer actively taking land, and even cities like Hangzhou have seen land auctions. Without the blessing of land revenue, the fiscal revenue of many local governments has dropped sharply, and even the phenomenon of "Bazhou in Hebei" has appeared. The reduction of fiscal revenue at the grassroots level directly affects the people who "eat public meals". Even in a provincial capital city like Zhengzhou, some government agencies can't pay their salaries. This situation has just begun. Inland cities without core competitiveness will have a hard time.
If it is within the system, you can engage in sideline business at the same time, increase your income and prepare for the future. After all, there are more and more "black swan" incidents now, and no one can accurately predict the future.
The pressure on traditional manufacturing and retail industries has increased.
As many foreign governments begin to implement "loose" epidemic policies, factories begin to operate normally, and domestic manufacturing industries will face greater overseas competition pressure. As China's service industry and real estate industry continue to decline, the income of ordinary people decreases and domestic demand consumption is sluggish, which will also put great pressure on traditional manufacturing and retail industries.
If you are in this industry, whether you are a boss or an employee, actively explore ideas and break traditional thinking, you may be able to discover the new continent with the help of the Internet.
What are the opportunities to look forward to in 2022?
The hobby training class ushered in a golden period.
This year's government work report pointed out that it is necessary to increase investment in "quality education". Specifically, the state will increase investment in the education of "sports, music and beauty", cultivate students' hobbies and strive for all-round development. Although the state strictly restricts discipline training, it does not restrict the development of hobby training courses, but strongly supports them. This year will be the golden development period of such training courses.
Environmental protection industry
Green mountains and green waters, environmental protection, this is the country's long-term strategic goal, this year the country increased investment support for related industries. Especially inland areas with serious environmental damage, such as parts of Shanxi and Shaanxi, are the focus of state support. If you want to change careers, you can consider environmental protection-related industries.
Domestic service industry
In recent years, with the increasing demand for services such as lunar new year, nanny and housekeeping, the domestic service industry has ushered in a development period. If your industry is depressed, or you are looking for a job, trying the domestic service industry may bring you new opportunities.
Any era is full of opportunities and challenges. What we have to do is to seize the opportunity and meet the challenge.