While attracting enough attention, we also need to treat the declining fertility rate and the aging population, which are universal problems in the world, with a certain rationality. If the world's most populous country is so anxious about the fertility rate, how can the United States, Europe, Japan and South Korea survive? ?
There is nothing wrong with being alert to the global population crisis. Since the reform and opening up, China's demographic dividend has been large in scale and maintained for a long time, and it has become the main productive force to attract global capital and boost China's economic development. If the birth rate drops too much, the demographic dividend will disappear too quickly, and the economy will be unbearable for a while. If the fertility rate falls below the international warning line, it should be paid more attention. ?
Among the productive forces, the most important thing is labor. The means of production need people or production tools invented by human beings to mine and produce; Production tools and equipment are also inseparable from human creation. A historical development law is that when a country has just passed the middle-income trap and moved towards a middle-and high-income society, the decline in fertility rate is a universal law.
With the improvement of social welfare and the increase of people's income, young people like to play for a few more years and don't want to have children too early and be bound by their families. At a small forum, a friend who has lived in Europe for decades said that the birth rate in Europe has dropped too much, and the population aging is much more serious than in other regions. Europe's super-guaranteed social welfare and old-age security make young people simply don't want to have children early. They play until they are in their thirties, but they can't have children if they want to.
Compared with Europe, China's social security is improving rapidly. The cost of food, clothing, housing and transportation in the whole city is higher. To a certain extent, there are some conditions that restrict fertility, such as the fear of getting married and having children, the heavy burden of children's schooling and nursery, the need to strengthen medical old-age security, and the unaffordable housing cost.
This phenomenon has accumulated for many years and can never be achieved overnight. It will take a long time. If you are too eager to stimulate fertility, or even encourage fertility, or it may bring other problems, you must be vigilant. One of them is to increase the family burden and social cost.